Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 7.126217 7.893855 8.750843 9.786834 11.016681 12.444719 14.250398
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.856773 6.838411 8.027881 9.606203 11.695438 14.444375 18.480593
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.172428 6.247840 7.623386 9.570560 12.362911 16.416827 23.183429
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.627429 5.722928 7.178790 9.339566 12.633601 17.810213 27.465993
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.270113 5.387981 6.923327 9.299640 13.131168 19.628485 33.213366
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.977154 5.102275 6.690777 9.239320 13.557424 21.412753 39.798262
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.816952 4.982179 6.675805 9.500350 14.557344 24.539638 51.452163
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.542739 4.671134 6.339503 9.187328 14.461983 25.432655 58.027608
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.296933 4.382666 6.010457 8.842769 14.240357 25.985409 64.117475
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.108626 4.166559 5.775250 8.629991 14.234840 27.037178 73.007411
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.974047 4.022306 5.641279 8.578016 14.542224 28.961524 87.695527
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.989072 4.107786 5.884302 9.238228 16.495345 36.114193 141.768043
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.903155 4.039401 5.883414 9.477725 17.673023 42.111358 217.964960
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.749876 3.855196 5.673194 9.288278 17.812383 44.964420 290.117228
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.635832 3.726690 5.548098 9.253238 18.337408 49.683013 440.553297
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.505514 3.562943 5.346853 9.033419 18.325150 52.332944 615.507848
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.412537 3.455481 5.237829 8.995420 18.809217 57.680905 1089.154939
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.324793 3.351441 5.126582 8.938012 19.228893 63.263473 2250.103079
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.282983 3.322540 5.151251 9.186380 20.649932 76.253696 20053.095319
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.177517 3.178415 4.948630 8.888521 20.266460 77.845473 126067.853824
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.075583 3.036043 4.741322 8.560372 19.721583 78.011873 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.995037 2.927522 4.592808 8.357579 19.562244 81.033777 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.937220 2.856204 4.511757 8.308024 19.924918 88.832203 NaN